“This Isn’t 2013!” – El-Rufai Raises Alarm Over INEC’s Independence Under Tinubu
Published Tuesday, June 24, 2025
In a fiery interview that has reignited debates on electoral transparency and democracy in Nigeria, former Kaduna State Governor Nasir El-Rufai has cast serious doubts on the ability of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to operate independently under the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
Speaking on Arise TV, El-Rufai issued a stark warning to Nigerians and the political class, stating bluntly:
“Dr. Mahmoud Yakubu is not Jega, and Tinubu is not Jonathan. This isn’t 2013.”
The statement is a reference to the political climate that allowed for the registration of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in 2013, during the tenure of then INEC Chairman Attahiru Jega and under President Goodluck Jonathan—a period widely praised for its relative political tolerance and democratic space.
🧱 Mounting Skepticism Over New Party Registration
El-Rufai’s comments stem from ongoing efforts by a grand opposition coalition—including political heavyweights like Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi, and Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso—to either revive an existing political party or register a new one ahead of the 2027 general elections. But the former minister suggests the current INEC leadership may block such moves, likely under pressure from the ruling APC.
“Many of us do not believe that under the current INEC, a new party will be registered,” El-Rufai emphasized, pointing to what he believes is a compromised electoral body under Tinubu’s government.
🎯 Strategy of Dual Options: Revive or Register
The coalition, according to El-Rufai, has adopted a two-track strategy:
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Resurrect an existing platform such as the Social Democratic Party (SDP) or the African Democratic Congress (ADC), or
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Attempt to register a new party, tentatively called the African Democratic Assembly (ADA).
However, El-Rufai said that many coalition members remain skeptical of INEC’s neutrality, suggesting that their real goal may be to test the system and expose interference.
“Let’s show that INEC is not independent. Let’s show that this government is doing everything to shut out the opposition,” he said.
🧩 Not a Party Merger, But a Movement
El-Rufai clarified that this coalition isn’t a traditional party merger. Instead, it is a movement driven by individuals with strong political capital in various regions.
“I’m not representing SDP or any party. I’m just one of the leaders with influence in the Northwest. We’re uniting as individuals first.”
He added that once a platform is chosen—whether revived or newly formed—all coalition members would resign from their current parties and move en masse to the agreed vehicle.
🚨 Is Nigeria’s Democracy Shrinking?
El-Rufai’s interview has drawn sharp reactions. Human rights lawyer Dele Farotimi, for example, dismissed the former governor’s concerns as “bleating,” declaring,
“Nigeria is not a democracy. It’s nice to hear El-Rufai finally admit it—whether he means to or not.”
While El-Rufai remains a polarizing figure, his warning underscores growing concerns about democratic backsliding and executive influence over Nigeria’s electoral institutions.
🔚 Conclusion: A Battle for the Ballot
As the countdown to 2027 begins, El-Rufai’s remarks have lit a fire under what is already shaping up to be a turbulent election cycle. Whether INEC will grant approval for a new party, and whether opposition forces can unite under one banner, remains to be seen.
But one thing is clear: El-Rufai is not sitting this one out—and he wants the world to know that 2025 is not 2013.