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Muslim-Muslim Ticket Debate: Why Analysts Say Only Health Or Death Can Stop Tinubu In 2027

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4 months ago

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Muslim-Muslim Ticket Debate: Why Analysts Say Only Health Or Death Can Stop Tinubu In 2027

The 2027 elections may still seem distant, but Nigeria’s political temperature is already rising. At the center of the storm is President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s controversial Muslim-Muslim ticket, a strategy that helped him clinch victory in 2023 but continues to spark heated debates across the country.

According to renowned political analyst Jide Ojo, Tinubu’s re-election chances are almost guaranteed — unless life throws in an unexpected twist. “The only thing that can stop Bola Ahmed Tinubu from being re-elected in 2027 is death or serious health issues,” Ojo boldly stated in an interview.

The Strategy Behind the 2023 Victory

Tinubu is no stranger to political gambits. In 2023, he defied critics by pairing with former Borno Governor Kashim Shettima, creating a Muslim-Muslim ticket that many predicted would backfire. Instead, it delivered.

How? Ojo explains that Tinubu leaned on opinion polls and private surveys to guide his moves. He calculated that Northern Muslim voters — the largest voting bloc — would swing his way if he resisted the pressure for a Christian running mate. Meanwhile, Christian minorities in the North-Central were already divided, with Peter Obi pulling strong support.

Tinubu’s decision wasn’t about religion per se; it was about cold, strategic mathematics:

  • Secure at least 25% in each state.

  • Appeal to emotions, not just policies.

  • Neutralize opposition strongholds by dividing their bases.

And the formula worked.

Carrot-and-Stick Politics – Tinubu’s Trademark

Tinubu’s survival in politics, Ojo argues, comes from his ability to wield both a carrot and a stick. He neutralizes potential rivals by co-opting them with positions or influence, while keeping a sharp eye on opposition threats.

This was evident in his recent appointment of Nentawe Goshwe Yilwatda, a Christian northerner, as APC National Chairman — a move aimed at balancing the narrative and silencing critics of the Muslim-Muslim ticket. For Tinubu, alliances are never permanent; they are tactical tools.

Governance and 2027 Calculations

Ojo predicts that Tinubu’s governance strategy itself is built around re-election:

  • First two years → reforms in economy, agriculture, and healthcare.

  • Final two years → heavy investments in infrastructure, conditional cash transfers, and grassroots bailouts to win back struggling Nigerians.

In short, the president knows voters forgive hardship if they see last-minute relief before the polls.

Opposition in Disarray – Tinubu’s Advantage

The weakness of opposition parties has also strengthened Tinubu’s hand. The PDP remains fragmented, while smaller parties like ADC are struggling to remain relevant. Unless there’s a shock alliance — for example, between Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar — the APC will likely retain the advantage.

The Warning From Northern Groups

But not everyone agrees with Ojo’s certainty. The Northern Ethnic Nationality Forum (NENF) has strongly warned Tinubu against repeating the Muslim-Muslim ticket in 2027. They argue that the 2023 election alienated millions of Christians in the North, costing APC key states like Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa, and even the FCT.

Their warning is clear: APC risks losing the Middle Belt if it ignores religious balance again. And in a tightly contested election, those votes could tip the scale.

Final Thoughts

Tinubu has always been more of a chess player than a statesman — studying polls, weighing alliances, and playing the long game. For now, the numbers seem to favor him, and analysts like Jide Ojo believe only fate can derail his second-term bid.

But politics is rarely that straightforward. Nigeria’s growing hardship, religious fault lines, and the possibility of an opposition alliance mean 2027 is far from a done deal. Tinubu may be a master strategist, but as history shows, even the sharpest plans can collapse under the weight of shifting realities.

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Osun Governorship: APC Committee Promises Transparent, Fair Delegate Congress Across The State

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December 10, 2025

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Osun Governorship: APC Committee Promises Transparent, Fair Delegate Congress Across The State

The All Progressives Congress (APC) Gubernatorial Delegate Congress Committee has officially arrived in Osun State ahead of the party’s highly anticipated ward-level congresses.

The committee, led by Chairman Sheu Umar Dange, paid a courtesy visit to the state APC leadership on Tuesday, December 9, at the party secretariat along Osogbo-Gbongan Road.

APC Pledges Transparency and Fairness

During the meeting with Osun APC Chairman Tajudeen Lawal and local government party leaders, Dange emphasized the committee’s dedication to fairness and transparency.

“We are ready to conduct delegate congresses in all 332 wards across the state. Our activities will be conducted without bias, and we welcome any complaints to address them fairly,” he said.

Dange urged party stakeholders to see their participation in the exercise as a crucial contribution to strengthening APC’s electoral success in Osun.

Ensuring a Smooth Congress

Secretary of the committee, Chiedu Eluemunoh, explained that all mechanisms for a smooth process were already in place. This includes the deployment of ad-hoc staff to all wards to ensure efficiency.

He clarified that only revalidated members of the APC in Osun will be eligible to vote.

“Being a party member does not automatically qualify you to vote. Only those revalidated will participate in the congress,” Eluemunoh noted.

To address potential grievances, an Appeal Committee has been set up, with sittings scheduled to begin on December 10, to hear complaints from any aggrieved members.

State APC Leadership Pledges Full Support

In response, Osun APC Chairman Tajudeen Lawal welcomed the congress committee and assured them of the full support of the State Working Committee (SWC) to ensure a successful and credible exercise.

“We are committed to providing all the necessary support to guarantee a smooth and transparent congress for our party members,” Lawal stated.

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Crime

Fresh Wave Of Insecurity: Pregnant Woman And Several Residents Abducted In Niger And FCT

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2 weeks ago

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November 28, 2025

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Fresh Wave Of Insecurity: Pregnant Woman And Several Residents Abducted In Niger And FCT

Nigeria continues to face serious security challenges as multiple communities in Niger State and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) experienced coordinated attacks this week. These incidents come just days after the abduction of students from St. Mary’s Catholic School in Niger State……CONTINUE READING

New Abduction in Niger State

Residents of Palaita community in Erena Ward, Shiroro Local Government Area were thrown into distress on Wednesday when armed groups invaded a rice farm and abducted several workers, including a pregnant woman. Community sources estimated the number of kidnapped victims to be around 24, while the Niger State Police Command confirmed 10 abductions as investigations continue.

Eyewitnesses said the incident occurred around 2:00 p.m. while farmers were busy harvesting their crops. Despite the community’s close proximity to a military base in Erena, the attackers escaped before security personnel arrived.

In a separate incident in Kakuru community, also in Erena Ward, residents reported that a visually impaired man was assaulted after refusing to hand over a mobile phone. The victim was given first aid, though his current condition remains unclear.

Police spokesperson, SP Wasiu Abiodun, confirmed the attacks, assuring that security agencies are actively working to rescue the victims and restore calm in the affected areas.

Fresh Abductions in the FCT

In Abuja, communities in the Bwari Area Council faced renewed tension following another night attack in Gidan-Bijimi, a settlement near the Kaduna boundary. Six young women and a 16-year-old boy were taken during the raid, according to residents.

The attack, which occurred around 9:47 p.m. on Wednesday, created panic among locals already concerned by previous incidents in the region. Local vigilance groups attempted to intervene but retreated due to limited resources.

As of Thursday morning, families reported that no contact had been made with the attackers, while police were still verifying the details.

Church Confirms Passing of Kaduna Cleric

The Diocese of Kaduna, Anglican Communion, has announced the death of Venerable Edwin Achi, who was abducted in October along with his wife and daughter. His passing was described as a deep loss to the Diocese and the wider Christian community. The Church also announced the cancellation of the upcoming “Stand Up for Jesus 2025” event in his honour.

The Diocese assured that prayers continue for the safe return of his wife and daughter.

Federal Government Responds to Rising Insecurity

Minister of Defence, Mohammed Badaru Abubakar, reaffirmed that the Nigerian military is intensifying efforts to eliminate criminal networks responsible for attacks across the country. He explained that intermittent assaults are typical of guerrilla-style tactics but insisted that security forces are “working day and night” to restore normalcy.

He further confirmed that the Federal Government has launched a full investigation into recent school abductions, including claims that security personnel were withdrawn prior to an incident in Kebbi State.

Police Redeploy Over 11,000 Personnel

Inspector-General of Police, Kayode Egbetokun, revealed that 11,566 police officers previously assigned to VIP protection have now been deployed to underserved communities to strengthen grassroots security.

He stated that the initiative is part of broader reforms aimed at improving community policing and ensuring fair distribution of manpower nationwide.

Cardinal Onaiyekan Calls for Better Equipment, Not More Personnel

Catholic Cardinal John Onaiyekan called on the Federal Government to prioritize properly equipping the officers already serving across the country rather than recruiting additional personnel. The Cardinal emphasized the need for immediate action, stressing that adequately supported police officers are capable of confronting insecurity.

Experts and Community Leaders Advocate Unity

Former Senator Shehu Sani and humanitarian organizations participating in the 9th International Conference on Love and Tolerance urged Nigerians to embrace unity, understanding, and dialogue. They highlighted the importance of addressing root causes of conflict, promoting peaceful coexistence, and supporting security agencies with the resources they need to protect communities.

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Crime

Dalung Breaks Silence: TikTok Chat With Bandit Exposes Deep Secrets Behind The Violence

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2 weeks ago

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November 28, 2025

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Dalung Breaks Silence: TikTok Chat With Bandit Exposes Deep Secrets Behind The Violence

Former Minister of Sports, Solomon Dalung, has opened up about a surprising and thought-provoking conversation he once had with a young man who claimed to be living in the bush as a bandit. Dalung shared the experience during an interview with News Central, explaining how the encounter gave him a deeper understanding of the issues fueling insecurity……CONTINUE READING

According to Dalung, he was browsing TikTok when he came across the young man, who openly described himself as someone living in the forest due to ongoing conflict. Curious, Dalung asked why they engaged in violent activities. The young man responded that they had suffered losses themselves and felt targeted by vigilante groups who, according to him, harmed their people and took their cattle. This, he said, pushed them into retaliation and led them deeper into the bush.

Dalung explained that he challenged the young man, pointing out that innocent people—including other Fulani individuals—were being harmed in the process. The young man replied that, from their viewpoint, only those living in the bush were considered part of their community, while anyone living in town was seen differently. It was a response that, according to Dalung, revealed how distorted perceptions can worsen the cycle of conflict.

Wanting to know if there was any path toward peace, Dalung asked what could help end the violence. The young man shared that they were open to negotiation and discussions that could encourage them to give up their weapons and reintegrate into society. Dalung noted that the confidence with which the young man spoke was unsettling, but it also showed that dialogue could be part of the solution.

Reflecting on the experience, Dalung urged the National Assembly to consider constitutional changes that would allow Nigerians the legal right to defend themselves responsibly, especially in areas affected by insecurity.

His conversation serves as a reminder of how complex the nation’s security challenges are—and how personal engagement, understanding, and strategic dialogue may help chart a way forward.

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